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Red171
2377169.8
5945170.0
1111128.7
Blue418
1599166.1
6334162.5
5587155.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348354200250300400450500171418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#21
170.00.3
173.2172.9
Auto18.0
Teleop124.2
End28.8
red by 3.8
1599
#12
166.10.0
160.7160.7
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
Second
2377
#38
169.81.3
178.1176.8
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
red by 7.3
162.50.5
156.2155.6
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
Third
1111
#47
128.70.4
130.8131.2
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
blue by 26.9
5587
#13
155.60.6
153.7154.4
Auto24.9
Teleop115.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed