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Red186
346168.1
2377169.8
6334162.5
Blue494
612165.5
1629211.7
1731189.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343414200300500600700186494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#38
169.80.7
181.1181.8
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
blue by 41.9
211.71.0
203.4204.3
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
Second
346
#9
168.10.5
173.2173.7
Auto22.4
Teleop115.9
End31.1
blue by 21.2
189.41.0
184.0185.0
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
Third
162.51.9
155.1157.1
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
blue by 3.0
612
#18
165.51.7
151.2152.9
Auto21.4
Teleop130.4
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed