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Red365
116140.7
6334162.5
6326123.8
Blue239
6882130.5
5587155.6
2534156.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033610100200400500600700365239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.50.3
155.4155.6
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
red by 5.8
2534
#31
156.60.5
161.2160.7
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
Second
116
#49
140.70.8
142.1141.3
Auto15.8
Teleop109.3
End12.2
blue by 14.9
5587
#13
155.60.7
155.1155.8
Auto24.9
Teleop115.0
End15.9
Third
6326
#58
123.80.2
122.1122.3
Auto17.3
Teleop94.5
End12.2
blue by 6.7
6882
#55
130.52.2
142.7140.5
Auto16.2
Teleop97.8
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed