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Red479
5115136.7
1629211.7
623180.6
Blue256
1610154.9
5587155.6
540148.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122920100200500600479256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.4
207.3207.7
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 56.1
5587
#13
155.60.1
155.8155.7
Auto24.9
Teleop115.0
End15.9
Second
623
#6
180.60.1
178.2178.1
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
red by 25.7
1610
#52
154.91.7
163.6161.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.0
End15.7
Third
5115
#48
136.70.3
137.6137.2
Auto18.3
Teleop102.3
End16.6
blue by 12.0
540
#16
148.60.4
147.1147.5
Auto16.9
Teleop108.3
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed