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Red131
611139.3
5338170.2
5957116.1
Blue466
1262189.0
1629211.7
620146.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424680100200300400600700131466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#46
170.21.1
174.2173.0
Auto18.9
Teleop129.1
End18.8
blue by 41.5
211.70.9
207.7208.6
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
Second
611
#26
139.31.1
137.2138.3
Auto18.0
Teleop103.0
End17.9
blue by 49.7
189.01.3
185.5186.7
Auto22.7
Teleop132.9
End36.4
Third
5957
#57
116.10.3
117.5117.8
Auto15.4
Teleop87.9
End11.0
blue by 30.2
620
#44
146.40.7
148.2147.4
Auto20.1
Teleop107.5
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned