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Red368
5243129.9
384177.6
4242147.8
Blue395
2377169.8
540148.6
611139.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343337200250300400450368395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#10
177.60.4
172.2172.6
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
red by 7.8
2377
#38
169.80.6
170.9170.3
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
Second
4242
#43
147.80.2
146.3146.5
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
blue by 0.9
540
#16
148.60.0
147.7147.7
Auto16.9
Teleop108.3
End26.0
Third
5243
#56
129.90.2
130.5130.3
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
blue by 9.4
611
#26
139.30.1
138.3138.3
Auto18.0
Teleop103.0
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned