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Red441
4541169.9
868201.4
4003209.8
Blue342
2869143.3
2056254.8
1241233.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352419200300500600441342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
Unranked
209.80.1
209.0209.1
Auto22.0
Teleop161.8
End29.2
blue by 44.9
2056
Unranked
254.80.0
255.0255.0
Auto27.7
Teleop182.1
End43.5
Second
868
Unranked
201.40.1
200.4200.6
Auto25.0
Teleop146.4
End31.8
blue by 32.0
1241
Unranked
233.50.2
232.9233.1
Auto23.4
Teleop175.1
End33.5
Third
4541
Unranked
169.90.1
169.2169.3
Auto20.4
Teleop132.9
End19.1
red by 26.6
2869
Unranked
143.30.1
142.9143.0
Auto21.1
Teleop107.4
End12.9