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Red348
333160.3
3707210.7
195232.7
Blue426
2708179.5
27203.0
2767239.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37139202006008001,0001,2001,400348426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
232.70.1
232.2232.3
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
blue by 6.8
2767
Unranked
239.50.0
239.5239.5
Auto23.5
Teleop172.3
End43.1
Second
3707
Unranked
210.70.3
209.4209.7
Auto23.0
Teleop154.0
End33.2
red by 7.7
27
Unranked
203.00.2
202.1202.3
Auto22.5
Teleop151.8
End29.2
Third
333
Unranked
160.30.1
160.8160.7
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End15.2
blue by 19.3
2708
Unranked
179.50.1
179.7179.5
Auto23.1
Teleop137.5
End18.6