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Red335
3374147.3
1574217.7
4488198.5
Blue412
1778148.6
1323230.9
3476207.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338409200300500600700335412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
217.70.0
218.0218.1
Auto22.7
Teleop163.6
End28.8
blue by 13.2
1323
Unranked
230.90.2
230.1230.3
Auto27.1
Teleop165.7
End36.6
Second
4488
Unranked
198.50.3
197.6197.9
Auto23.2
Teleop141.3
End33.5
blue by 8.9
3476
Unranked
207.40.3
206.2206.5
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Third
3374
Unranked
147.30.0
147.3147.3
Auto22.6
Teleop113.8
End10.8
blue by 1.3
1778
Unranked
148.60.1
148.3148.4
Auto18.1
Teleop119.8
End9.6