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Red421
4499159.5
2910220.2
4911190.3
Blue341
1778148.6
1323230.9
3476207.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353399200300500600421341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
Unranked
220.20.3
218.9219.2
Auto21.5
Teleop169.0
End29.0
blue by 10.7
1323
Unranked
230.90.2
230.3230.5
Auto27.1
Teleop165.7
End36.6
Second
4911
Unranked
190.30.2
189.2189.4
Auto22.8
Teleop140.0
End27.5
blue by 17.0
3476
Unranked
207.40.3
206.5206.7
Auto25.0
Teleop144.5
End37.1
Third
4499
Unranked
159.50.2
158.5158.7
Auto26.3
Teleop120.5
End11.7
red by 10.9
1778
Unranked
148.60.1
148.4148.5
Auto18.1
Teleop119.8
End9.6