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Qual 302018 Colorado Regional
Red305
4388162.1
5126129.8
5493114.4
Blue251
2240128.2
1157123.3
3374148.9
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292590100200300400500305251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#10
162.11.7
150.2→151.9
Auto16.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
red by 13.2
3374
#13
148.91.3
143.0→144.3
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
Second
5126
#32
129.80.1
127.6→127.7
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
red by 1.6
2240
#19
128.20.9
117.7→118.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End22.3
Third
5493
#25
114.40.1
109.6→109.7
Auto15.7
Teleop86.5
End14.7
blue by 9.0
1157
#26
123.33.8
96.7→100.6
Auto17.4
Teleop91.1
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed