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Qual 532018 Colorado Regional
Red246
3729110.9
4499154.4
3807109.0
Blue175
4068125.1
2259108.4
3200122.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328261100200300400500246175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#16
154.40.6
149.4→150.0
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1
red by 29.4
4068
#52
125.12.2
117.7→119.9
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
Second
3729
#36
110.90.3
109.4→109.6
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End9.7
blue by 11.8
3200
#27
122.70.7
118.1→118.9
Auto19.3
Teleop94.2
End10.3
Third
3807
#23
109.02.6
101.7→104.3
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
red by 0.6
2259
#47
108.40.4
101.1→101.5
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed