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Qual 552018 Colorado Regional
Red211
4293141.1
5126129.8
3288109.1
Blue412
159143.4
1619223.4
1799102.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268370100200300400500211412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#30
141.13.0
135.2→138.2
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
blue by 82.3
1619
#1
223.41.9
209.8→211.7
Auto25.0
Teleop152.5
End44.2
Second
5126
#32
129.80.7
128.4→129.1
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
blue by 13.7
159
#11
143.42.3
129.4→131.7
Auto21.7
Teleop107.6
End15.2
Third
3288
#28
109.11.1
121.6→120.5
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
red by 6.8
1799
#37
102.30.2
99.2→99.0
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned