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Qual 612018 Colorado Regional
Red381
6459113.0
4550172.0
1583117.5
Blue376
4944170.7
3807109.0
5763134.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278331100200400500600381376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#6
172.02.2
158.7→160.8
Auto18.5
Teleop125.5
End29.3
red by 1.3
4944
#15
170.70.1
169.3→169.4
Auto21.3
Teleop128.7
End20.2
Second
1583
#43
117.50.4
109.7→110.1
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
blue by 16.6
5763
#20
134.12.2
119.6→121.8
Auto18.3
Teleop104.5
End12.7
Third
6459
#48
113.00.7
111.2→110.5
Auto12.9
Teleop92.1
End8.0
red by 4.0
3807
#23
109.01.9
104.3→106.2
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed