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Red230
2036110.0
5126129.8
4418116.3
Blue390
4153114.7
2259108.4
3005195.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373540100200300400500230390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#32
129.80.3
129.1129.4
Auto17.1
Teleop95.8
End18.2
blue by 65.3
3005
#17
195.11.0
193.1194.0
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
Second
4418
#51
116.30.4
118.4118.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End11.5
red by 1.6
4153
#18
114.70.4
109.2109.6
Auto15.8
Teleop88.6
End9.2
Third
2036
#46
110.02.8
117.8114.9
Auto18.5
Teleop84.9
End4.6
red by 1.6
2259
#47
108.40.2
101.5101.7
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed