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Qual 662018 Colorado Regional
Red262
4550172.0
1245139.4
1799102.3
Blue396
464191.6
1157123.3
2996173.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349260100200300400500600262396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#6
172.02.6
160.8→163.4
Auto18.5
Teleop125.5
End29.3
blue by 1.5
2996
#4
173.52.3
161.2→163.5
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
Second
1245
#5
139.42.1
131.7→133.8
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
red by 16.1
1157
#26
123.33.3
109.8→113.1
Auto17.4
Teleop91.1
End17.9
Third
1799
#37
102.31.3
99.0→100.3
Auto16.7
Teleop80.2
End9.4
red by 10.7
4641
#42
91.60.4
87.9→88.3
Auto13.5
Teleop70.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed