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Qual 682018 Colorado Regional
Red279
294596.4
1332127.0
1303107.5
Blue259
4068125.1
4593128.9
698124.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216339100300400500279259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#34
127.00.3
120.2→120.5
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
blue by 1.9
4593
#21
128.92.5
128.1→130.7
Auto16.8
Teleop102.1
End6.3
Second
1303
#39
107.50.7
106.4→105.7
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
blue by 17.5
4068
#52
125.11.3
119.9→121.2
Auto13.0
Teleop91.8
End20.6
Third
2945
#38
96.41.5
93.7→92.2
Auto17.3
Teleop75.2
End8.2
blue by 27.9
698
#41
124.21.8
121.8→123.6
Auto18.8
Teleop91.9
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed