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Qual 762018 Colorado Regional
Red281
4499154.4
4418116.3
4386122.7
Blue385
1332127.0
2996173.5
1245139.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280388100200500600700281385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#16
154.40.8
150.6→151.4
Auto24.9
Teleop118.5
End11.1
blue by 19.1
2996
#4
173.53.1
163.5→166.6
Auto19.0
Teleop127.5
End28.5
Second
4386
#33
122.71.0
125.6→124.5
Auto16.5
Teleop88.4
End17.5
blue by 16.7
1245
#5
139.41.0
133.8→134.8
Auto19.9
Teleop101.1
End22.0
Third
4418
#51
116.31.0
118.8→117.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End11.5
blue by 10.7
1332
#34
127.02.6
120.5→123.0
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed