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Red266
3200122.7
698124.2
4388162.1
Blue303
1410144.7
1011172.0
3288109.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3003150200400600800266303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#10
162.10.3
160.4160.7
Auto16.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
blue by 9.9
172.00.1
171.2171.1
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End15.7
Second
698
#41
124.20.2
124.2124.0
Auto18.8
Teleop91.9
End15.7
blue by 20.4
1410
#12
144.73.5
135.9139.5
Auto17.6
Teleop111.3
End19.5
Third
3200
#27
122.71.1
120.5121.6
Auto19.3
Teleop94.2
End10.3
red by 13.7
3288
#28
109.13.1
114.5111.4
Auto15.7
Teleop82.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed