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Qual 842018 Colorado Regional
Red230
1583117.5
2259108.4
5414133.7
Blue387
1303107.5
159143.4
4550172.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423770100200300500600230387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#24
133.70.3
135.3→135.0
Auto19.7
Teleop102.5
End7.7
blue by 38.3
4550
#6
172.02.0
165.4→167.4
Auto18.5
Teleop125.5
End29.3
Second
1583
#43
117.52.0
114.4→116.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End11.9
blue by 25.9
159
#11
143.42.0
136.3→138.3
Auto21.7
Teleop107.6
End15.2
Third
2259
#47
108.43.2
103.3→106.5
Auto16.1
Teleop81.0
End14.1
red by 0.9
1303
#39
107.50.6
107.7→107.1
Auto15.5
Teleop88.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed