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Red305
118216.6
3374148.9
3807109.0
Blue238
1332127.0
4293141.1
3005195.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35532702004006008001,000305238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
216.60.5
216.3216.9
Auto28.7
Teleop156.3
End30.8
red by 21.6
3005
#17
195.10.1
196.4196.4
Auto25.3
Teleop140.0
End27.4
Second
3374
#13
148.90.4
148.5148.9
Auto20.2
Teleop117.2
End12.1
red by 7.8
4293
#30
141.11.5
139.1140.6
Auto17.5
Teleop109.8
End11.4
Third
3807
#23
109.01.6
107.4109.0
Auto14.6
Teleop81.5
End16.1
blue by 17.9
1332
#34
127.02.0
125.0127.0
Auto15.5
Teleop95.0
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed