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Red393
5522146.5
1577196.7
6353127.2
Blue288
5451124.8
1574217.7
6394141.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903760200600800393288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.70.0
196.7196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
blue by 21.0
217.70.0
217.7217.7
Auto22.7
Teleop163.6
End28.8
Second
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
red by 5.2
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
6353
#22
127.20.0
127.2127.2
Auto20.5
Teleop97.8
End7.8
red by 2.4
5451
#15
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1