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Red214
6394141.3
5451124.8
909360.1
Blue286
7047123.8
5522146.5
5516121.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301289100200400500214286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 5.2
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Second
5451
#15
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 1.0
7047
#11
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
Third
9093
#23
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 61.2
5516
#18
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds39%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds