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Red315
6997100.0
5522146.5
6304103.6
Blue215
1477161.5
6771127.8
723892.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223230100400500600700800315215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
blue by 15.0
161.50.0
161.5161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Second
6304
#19
103.60.0
103.6103.6
Auto18.2
Teleop80.6
End2.5
blue by 24.3
6771
#28
127.80.0
127.8127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
Third
6997
#13
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
red by 7.2
7238
#31
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest odds31%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds