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Red173
6360101.7
6394141.3
7047123.8
Blue369
1477161.5
904760.1
7006134.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753330200400600800173369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 20.2
161.50.0
161.5161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Second
7047
#11
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
blue by 10.2
7006
#24
134.00.0
134.0134.0
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End15.3
Third
101.70.0
101.7101.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
red by 41.6
9047
#33
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest odds21%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds