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Red167
723892.9
5823152.5
6990117.5
Blue406
6386155.2
6360101.7
1577196.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323930100300500600700800167406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
#30
152.50.0
152.5152.5
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
blue by 44.3
196.70.0
196.7196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
6990
#12
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
blue by 37.7
6386
#25
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
Third
7238
#31
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 8.9
101.70.0
101.7101.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest odds66%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds25%Face the Boss odds