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Red65
5823152.5
1477161.5
6353127.2
Blue456
910060.1
1574217.7
7095109.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325309010020040050060065456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.0
161.5161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
blue by 56.2
217.70.0
217.7217.7
Auto22.7
Teleop163.6
End28.8
Second
5823
#30
152.50.0
152.5152.5
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 42.6
109.80.0
109.8109.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
Third
6353
#22
127.20.0
127.2127.2
Auto20.5
Teleop97.8
End7.8
red by 67.1
9100
#16
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds46%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds11%Face the Boss odds