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Red228
6771127.8
7047123.8
530891.1
Blue294
649499.3
6360101.7
1574217.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2023640100300400500600700228294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6771
#28
127.80.0
127.8127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
blue by 89.9
217.70.0
217.7217.7
Auto22.7
Teleop163.6
End28.8
Second
7047
#11
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
red by 22.1
101.70.0
101.7101.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Third
5308
#20
91.10.0
91.191.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
blue by 8.1
99.30.0
99.399.3
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest odds49%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds14%Face the Boss odds