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Red226
1772165.2
904760.1
6394141.3
Blue438
5516121.3
1577196.7
6990117.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318316200250300350400450226438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.20.0
165.2165.2
Auto20.3
Teleop123.2
End19.9
blue by 31.5
196.70.0
196.7196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 20.0
5516
#18
121.30.0
121.3121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Third
9047
#33
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 57.4
6990
#12
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds70%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds20%Face the Boss odds