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Red366
5451124.8
1574217.7
6394141.3
Blue60
1477161.5
7095109.8
5449135.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399218010030050060070080036660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.70.0
217.7217.7
Auto22.7
Teleop163.6
End28.8
red by 56.2
161.50.0
161.5161.5
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Second
6394
#26
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 5.9
5449
#21
135.40.0
135.4135.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
Third
5451
#15
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 15.0
109.80.0
109.8109.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0