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Red519
177188.7
195223.2
7153110.3
Blue237
176180.0
230224.5
2064134.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378361250300400450500519237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
223.20.7
222.5223.2
Auto28.7
Teleop167.5
End32.5
blue by 1.3
230
#3
224.50.0
224.5224.5
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
Second
177
#2
188.70.4
188.3188.7
Auto21.1
Teleop135.6
End34.4
red by 8.6
176
#5
180.00.4
180.4180.0
Auto25.6
Teleop133.8
End16.0
Third
7153
#31
110.30.0
110.4110.3
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
blue by 24.1
2064
#19
134.40.2
134.7134.4
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2