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Red434
177188.7
195223.2
7153110.3
Blue165
1991123.3
3464131.6
3146153.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456259100200300400500600700434165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
223.20.6
220.0220.6
Auto28.7
Teleop167.5
End32.5
red by 70.1
3146
#23
153.10.3
152.7153.1
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
Second
177
#2
188.70.2
187.2187.4
Auto21.1
Teleop135.6
End34.4
red by 57.1
3464
#10
131.60.0
131.6131.6
Auto19.1
Teleop88.5
End22.5
Third
7153
#31
110.30.3
111.1110.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
blue by 13.0
1991
#28
123.30.1
123.2123.3
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3