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Red443
176180.0
230224.5
2064134.4
Blue294
2067167.9
2836159.4
5686138.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426306100200500600700443294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
224.50.1
224.2224.3
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
red by 56.6
2067
#12
167.90.1
168.0168.0
Auto22.9
Teleop120.2
End26.5
Second
176
#5
180.00.5
182.6182.1
Auto25.6
Teleop133.8
End16.0
red by 20.6
159.40.4
158.6159.0
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
Third
2064
#19
134.40.3
135.9135.6
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
blue by 4.4
5686
#15
138.80.1
138.6138.7
Auto19.3
Teleop109.1
End10.9