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Red286
181156.0
2170154.0
571133.2
Blue304
236149.2
999140.6
839142.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356328250300400450500286304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#20
156.00.5
155.1155.6
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 6.8
236
#17
149.20.2
150.0149.8
Auto20.3
Teleop109.4
End20.2
Second
154.00.8
152.6153.4
Auto23.6
Teleop110.1
End23.9
red by 11.7
839
#21
142.40.5
140.7141.1
Auto16.0
Teleop106.3
End23.8
Third
571
#25
133.20.4
132.4132.9
Auto19.0
Teleop101.8
End13.8
blue by 7.3
999
#8
140.60.1
140.0140.1
Auto17.3
Teleop105.2
End17.4