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Red171
558154.3
2836159.4
681196.0
Blue484
2170154.0
230224.5
177188.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234750100300400600700800171484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.40.6
155.3154.7
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
blue by 65.1
230
#3
224.50.0
222.9222.9
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
Second
558
#6
154.30.6
134.7135.3
Auto23.9
Teleop112.7
End19.6
blue by 34.3
177
#2
188.71.2
175.2176.3
Auto21.1
Teleop135.6
End34.4
Third
6811
#38
96.01.6
103.2101.7
Auto16.3
Teleop70.9
End9.5
blue by 58.0
154.02.8
127.2129.9
Auto23.6
Teleop110.1
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned