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Red339
230224.5
363499.1
181156.0
Blue217
2836159.4
839142.4
1085109.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4002630100200300500600700339217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
224.50.2
222.9223.1
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
red by 65.1
159.40.3
154.0153.7
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
Second
181
#20
156.01.7
142.2143.8
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 13.6
839
#21
142.41.7
128.1129.8
Auto16.0
Teleop106.3
End23.8
Third
3634
#27
99.10.4
101.6101.2
Auto16.3
Teleop75.2
End8.9
blue by 10.4
1085
#30
109.50.9
107.7108.6
Auto16.8
Teleop80.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed