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Red382
1991123.3
173144.7
558154.3
Blue306
3654128.4
7153110.3
3464131.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330264100200300400500600382306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#6
154.31.1
135.5136.5
Auto23.9
Teleop112.7
End19.6
red by 22.7
3464
#10
131.60.1
124.1124.2
Auto19.1
Teleop88.5
End22.5
Second
173
#11
144.71.7
130.1131.8
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
red by 16.3
3654
#32
128.40.5
125.7125.2
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
Third
1991
#28
123.30.4
114.3114.7
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
red by 13.0
7153
#31
110.30.2
105.4105.2
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed