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Red429
195223.2
5686138.8
839142.4
Blue204
681196.0
6333118.5
2067167.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282090100300500600700429204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
223.22.1
206.8208.9
Auto28.7
Teleop167.5
End32.5
red by 55.3
2067
#12
167.90.2
167.5167.3
Auto22.9
Teleop120.2
End26.5
Second
839
#21
142.41.3
131.9133.2
Auto16.0
Teleop106.3
End23.8
red by 23.8
6333
#40
118.51.0
118.9117.9
Auto20.2
Teleop86.8
End11.7
Third
5686
#15
138.81.2
131.2132.4
Auto19.3
Teleop109.1
End10.9
red by 42.8
6811
#38
96.00.3
97.497.1
Auto16.3
Teleop70.9
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed