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Red428
6346104.8
190135.0
3182129.7
Blue178
7153110.3
6895100.1
1740126.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323266100200400500428178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#14
135.01.1
124.0125.1
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End14.9
red by 8.9
1740
#16
126.11.5
121.2122.6
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End23.6
Second
3182
#22
129.70.4
126.2126.6
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
red by 19.4
7153
#31
110.31.4
106.8108.2
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
Third
6346
#18
104.80.6
100.8101.4
Auto17.6
Teleop77.7
End10.4
red by 4.7
6895
#37
100.10.3
100.5100.7
Auto14.4
Teleop73.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed