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Red417
177188.7
190135.0
195223.2
Blue293
176180.0
175173.9
5746119.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423291100200500600417293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
223.21.9
208.9210.8
Auto28.7
Teleop167.5
End32.5
red by 43.2
176
#5
180.01.1
178.9180.0
Auto25.6
Teleop133.8
End16.0
Second
177
#2
188.71.3
183.4184.7
Auto21.1
Teleop135.6
End34.4
red by 14.8
175
#7
173.91.1
167.1168.3
Auto23.2
Teleop127.2
End25.1
Third
190
#14
135.01.3
125.1126.4
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End14.9
red by 15.0
5746
#26
119.90.4
119.8119.4
Auto18.8
Teleop93.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed