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Red302
4987116.1
181156.0
2836159.4
Blue346
2064134.4
1740126.1
7127129.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383285100200500600700302346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.40.9
153.8154.7
Auto21.7
Teleop115.5
End26.2
red by 25.0
2064
#19
134.41.3
132.4133.7
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
Second
181
#20
156.01.8
148.1149.9
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 27.0
7127
#13
129.01.1
121.5122.5
Auto17.7
Teleop99.2
End14.7
Third
4987
#34
116.10.1
118.4118.5
Auto20.0
Teleop88.5
End5.2
blue by 10.0
1740
#16
126.10.2
122.6122.9
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed