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Red401
3464131.6
571133.2
5746119.9
Blue190
6895100.1
6333118.5
155128.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349256100200300400500401190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#25
133.20.2
129.3129.2
Auto19.0
Teleop101.8
End13.8
red by 4.4
155
#24
128.80.6
125.6126.2
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
Second
3464
#10
131.60.7
126.3127.0
Auto19.1
Teleop88.5
End22.5
red by 13.1
6333
#40
118.50.5
117.9117.5
Auto20.2
Teleop86.8
End11.7
Third
5746
#26
119.90.5
119.4118.9
Auto18.8
Teleop93.1
End9.6
red by 19.8
6895
#37
100.10.7
100.7100.1
Auto14.4
Teleop73.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed