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Red160
2067167.9
6895100.1
197391.1
Blue471
181156.0
1740126.1
5142122.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280367100200400500600700160471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
167.90.5
167.9168.4
Auto22.9
Teleop120.2
End26.5
red by 12.0
181
#20
156.00.8
151.0151.8
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Second
6895
#37
100.10.8
99.7100.4
Auto14.4
Teleop73.9
End13.2
blue by 26.0
1740
#16
126.10.8
124.3125.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End23.6
Third
1973
#41
91.10.0
91.691.7
Auto14.9
Teleop65.9
End10.5
blue by 31.4
5142
#33
122.40.1
122.4122.3
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed