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Red396
1085109.5
5129108.3
1991123.3
Blue221
5746119.9
278595.7
7153110.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292283200250350400450396221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#28
123.30.4
123.2122.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
red by 3.4
5746
#26
119.90.7
118.9119.6
Auto18.8
Teleop93.1
End9.6
Second
1085
#30
109.50.1
108.6108.8
Auto16.8
Teleop80.2
End13.3
blue by 0.8
7153
#31
110.31.0
110.0110.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End12.7
Third
5129
#36
108.30.7
106.4107.1
Auto16.0
Teleop84.9
End9.7
red by 12.6
2785
#29
95.70.0
96.095.9
Auto16.0
Teleop68.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed