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Red279
999140.6
5129108.3
181156.0
Blue290
3182129.7
3464131.6
230224.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2324180100200300500600700279290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#20
156.01.7
138.5140.2
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
blue by 68.5
230
#3
224.50.6
222.3222.9
Auto25.7
Teleop167.4
End29.8
Second
999
#8
140.61.5
119.6121.0
Auto17.3
Teleop105.2
End17.4
red by 9.0
3464
#10
131.60.2
124.2124.4
Auto19.1
Teleop88.5
End22.5
Third
5129
#36
108.31.5
95.296.7
Auto16.0
Teleop84.9
End9.7
blue by 21.4
3182
#22
129.70.3
127.1127.4
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed