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Red359
195232.7
176199.9
3182129.7
Blue398
177203.3
230217.8
178145.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399330100200500600700359398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
232.70.0
232.7232.7
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
red by 14.9
230
Unranked
217.80.0
217.8217.8
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
Second
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
blue by 3.4
177
Unranked
203.30.0
203.3203.3
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Third
3182
Unranked
129.70.0
129.7129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
blue by 15.7
178
Unranked
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5