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Red270
1991123.3
173144.7
228165.8
Blue365
181156.0
2168189.5
999141.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2594020100200300500600700270365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
165.80.0
165.8165.8
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
blue by 23.7
2168
Unranked
189.50.0
189.5189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
173
Unranked
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
blue by 11.3
181
Unranked
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
Third
1991
Unranked
123.30.0
123.3123.3
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
blue by 18.0
999
Unranked
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds71%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds