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Red226
230222.1
95175.5
7127116.3
Blue386
5687190.8
195202.4
7153106.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369320150200250300400450500550226386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
222.10.2
221.9222.1
Auto28.0
Teleop162.8
End32.9
red by 19.7
195
#2
202.40.0
202.4202.4
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
Second
95
#1
175.50.4
175.1175.5
Auto18.8
Teleop142.6
End16.4
blue by 15.3
190.80.4
190.4190.8
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
Third
7127
#23
116.30.2
116.1116.3
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
red by 9.5
7153
#14
106.80.0
106.8106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6