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Red239
178145.4
2836155.9
5746127.6
Blue461
228165.8
3555162.7
3654125.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3263620100200400500600700239461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.90.1
155.9156.0
Auto22.2
Teleop114.9
End16.9
blue by 9.9
228
#12
165.80.0
165.6165.6
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
Second
178
#15
145.40.3
144.5144.8
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
blue by 17.3
162.70.5
161.4161.8
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
Third
5746
#13
127.60.1
128.4128.3
Auto18.6
Teleop97.7
End7.5
red by 2.2
3654
#20
125.50.0
125.4125.4
Auto17.5
Teleop93.0
End14.7