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Red427
230222.1
6811107.6
6346104.8
Blue263
2064131.3
155116.5
7153106.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492220100300400500600700427263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
222.13.5
194.3197.9
Auto28.0
Teleop162.8
End32.9
red by 90.8
2064
#19
131.37.8
110.8118.6
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4
Second
6811
#24
107.64.2
85.789.9
Auto17.4
Teleop80.1
End7.0
blue by 8.8
155
#18
116.50.3
110.7110.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End12.9
Third
6346
#26
104.83.3
96.499.7
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
blue by 2.0
7153
#14
106.85.7
90.996.6
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed